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David Fleming
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Uppsala report: “A supply-driven forecast for future global coal production”, 2008, available at http://tinyurl.com/p2w5v2g ; Institute for Energy report: “The Future of Coal”, 2007, quotation from p 5, available at http://tinyurl.com/o4hjboe . Richard Heinberg’s “MuseLetter 196: Coal and Climate”, August 2008, notes a fifth report, by the German Federal Institute for Geosciences and Natural Resources (BGR), which sees no resource problem for coal until 2100.

He points out, however, that the report assumes a decline in the demand for coal, and (in contrast with all other studies) a very sharp rise in the conversion of the “resource” (the estimated quantity of coal in the ground) into “reserves” (the quantity that can reasonably be expected to be mined). The basis on which these optimistic assumptions are made is not explained. Available at http://richardheinberg.com/196-coal-and-climate

See also Richard Heinberg, “MuseLetter 195: Coal in China”, June 2008, available at http://old.globalpublicmedia.com/museletter_coal_in_china . Another study consistent with the Energy Watch Group’s findings is S.H. Mohr and G. H. Evans, “Forecasting Coal Production until 2100”, 2009, available at www.theoildrum.com/node/5256 .

David Fleming
Dr David Fleming (2 January 1940 – 29 November 2010) was a cultural historian and economist, based in London, England. He was among the first to reveal the possibility of peak oil's approach and invented the influential TEQs scheme, designed to address this and climate change. He was also a pioneer of post-growth economics, and a significant figure in the development of the UK Green Party, the Transition Towns movement and the New Economics Foundation, as well as a Chairman of the Soil Association. His wide-ranging independent analysis culminated in two critically acclaimed books, 'Lean Logic' and 'Surviving the Future', published posthumously in 2016. These in turn inspired the 2020 launches of both BAFTA-winning director Peter Armstrong's feature film about Fleming's perspective and legacy - 'The Sequel: What Will Follow Our Troubled Civilisation?' - and Sterling College's unique 'Surviving the Future: Conversations for Our Time' online courses. For more information on all of the above, including Lean Logic, click the little globe below!

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