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David Fleming
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For concise summaries of the world outlook see, for instance, UK Industry Taskforce on Peak Oil and Energy Security, “The Oil Crunch: A Wake-Up Call for the UK Economy”, February 2010; David Strahan (2007), The Last Oil Shock, and updates in Rembrandt Koppelaar’s “Oilwatch Monthly” at The Oil Drum: Europe: http://europe.theoildrum.com/ .

Editor’s note: David Fleming’s former colleague Roger W. Bentley offers the following clarification:

The reference to “discovering one barrel of oil for every five consumed” refers to the discovery in new fields of “regular conventional oil”, as defined by Colin J. Campbell. This definition excludes the discovery of deepwater oil, Arctic oil or very heavy oils. However, with regard to the first two categories, the quantity of oil available for discovery is relatively small (see, e.g., International Energy Agency, “Resources to Reserves 2013”, 2013, available at www.iea.org/publications/freepublications/publication/Resources2013.pdf ). And the location of most very heavy oils, and of the non-conventional oils, is already known.

David Fleming
Dr David Fleming (2 January 1940 – 29 November 2010) was a cultural historian and economist, based in London, England. He was among the first to reveal the possibility of peak oil's approach and invented the influential TEQs scheme, designed to address this and climate change. He was also a pioneer of post-growth economics, and a significant figure in the development of the UK Green Party, the Transition Towns movement and the New Economics Foundation, as well as a Chairman of the Soil Association. His wide-ranging independent analysis culminated in two critically acclaimed books, 'Lean Logic' and 'Surviving the Future', published posthumously in 2016. These in turn inspired the 2020 launches of both BAFTA-winning director Peter Armstrong's feature film about Fleming's perspective and legacy - 'The Sequel: What Will Follow Our Troubled Civilisation?' - and Sterling College's unique 'Surviving the Future: Conversations for Our Time' online courses. For more information on all of the above, including Lean Logic, click the little globe below!

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