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David Fleming
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IPCC Fourth Assessment Report, synthesis report, table 5.1, p 67, available at http://tinyurl.com/72p9wwd . See also Myles R. Allen, David J. Frame, Chris Huntingford, et al., “Warming Caused by For further clarification of the terminology of climate science—radiative forcing, CO2 equivalent, global warming potential, parts per million, etc.—see Shaun Chamberlin (2009), The Transition Timeline, chapter 17: “Climate Change Explained”. Also available as “The Climate Science Translation Guide” at www.darkoptimism.org/2008/09/03/the-climate-science-translation-guide/ . Cumulative Carbon Emissions Towards the Trillionth Tonne”, Nature, 458, 30 April 2009, pp 1163–1166, in which the authors conclude that: “Total anthropogenic emissions of one trillion tonnes of carbon (3.67 trillion tonnes of CO2), about half of which has already been emitted since industrialisation began, results in a most likely peak carbon-dioxide-induced warming of 2°C above pre-industrial temperatures, with a 5–95% confidence interval of 1.3–3.9°C”. But, as argued in Energy Prospects, anthropogenic emissions in the future could more than double.

David Fleming
Dr David Fleming (2 January 1940 – 29 November 2010) was a cultural historian and economist, based in London, England. He was among the first to reveal the possibility of peak oil's approach and invented the influential TEQs scheme, designed to address this and climate change. He was also a pioneer of post-growth economics, and a significant figure in the development of the UK Green Party, the Transition Towns movement and the New Economics Foundation, as well as a Chairman of the Soil Association. His wide-ranging independent analysis culminated in two critically acclaimed books, 'Lean Logic' and 'Surviving the Future', published posthumously in 2016. These in turn inspired the 2020 launches of both BAFTA-winning director Peter Armstrong's feature film about Fleming's perspective and legacy - 'The Sequel: What Will Follow Our Troubled Civilisation?' - and Sterling College's unique 'Surviving the Future: Conversations for Our Time' online courses. For more information on all of the above, including Lean Logic, click the little globe below!

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